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Correlation
of values
+47%
In sync
of periods
70%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-05
5,861
These move in the same direction about 70% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~22% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
70.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+47%
Based on values
95% CI
+45% → +49%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
5,861 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
5,862
12,322
Normalized
5,862
12,322
Prepared
5,862
12,322
Aligned
5,861
5,861
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
21.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
5,861
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+47%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
5,861 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+47%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+47%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
6,462
A: 1 / B: 6461
Series A
10Y Breakeven Inflation
T10YIE
FRED · 5,862 raw → 5,862 prepared
Series B
30Y Treasury Yield
DGS30
FRED · 12,322 raw → 12,322 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
38
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.2474
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.0792
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-dgs30_fred-t10yie_daily_5y