Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of values
-19%
In sync
of periods
51%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-26
1,226
These move in the same direction about 51% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~3% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
51%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-19%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,226 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
3,104
5,880
Normalized
3,104
5,880
Prepared
3,104
1,228
Aligned
1,226
1,226
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
3%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
1,226
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-19%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,226 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-19%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-19%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,880
A: 1878 / B: 2
Series A
Initial Jobless Claims
ICSA
FRED · 3,104 raw → 3,104 prepared
Series B
10Y Real Yield
DFII10
FRED · 5,880 raw → 1,228 prepared
Sign agreement
83.7%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
43
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.1839
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dfii10_fred-icsa_weekly_5y