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Correlation
of values
+30%
In sync
of periods
—
History
monthsmonths · through 2024-01
25
These move together
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~9% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
N/A
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+30%
Based on values
95% CI
-11% → +62%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
25 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
51
6,653
Normalized
51
6,653
Prepared
51
319
Aligned
25
25
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
25
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: 0 to 0 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+30%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
25 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+30%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+30%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
320
A: 26 / B: 294
Series A
Real Median Personal Income in the United States
MEPAINUSA672N
FRED · 51 raw → 51 prepared
Series B
USD/VES Exchange Rate
DEXVZUS
FRED · 6,653 raw → 319 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
2
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
29.7970
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-1098904.7254
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexvzus_fred-mepainusa672n_monthly_5y