SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
-47%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
327
These move opposite each other about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~22% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
EUR/USD Exchange Rate moves ~10 months before Total Vehicle Sales
Watch EUR/USD Exchange Rate for an early read on Total Vehicle Sales.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-47%
Based on values
95% CI
-55% → -38%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
327 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
603
6,849
Normalized
603
6,849
Prepared
603
328
Aligned
327
327
Invalid removed
R²(i)
21.7%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
327
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-10 months
Correlation at this shift
-55%
+9% stronger than no-shift baseline
EUR/USD Exchange Rate shifted 10 months later. Reads: "Does Total Vehicle Sales today line up with EUR/USD Exchange Rate 10 months ago?"
317 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-47%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-10 months
-55%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-6%
62 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+13%
57 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-50%
130 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
277
A: 276 / B: 1
Series A
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 603 raw → 603 prepared
Series B
EUR/USD Exchange Rate
DEXUSEU
FRED · 6,849 raw → 328 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
22
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0332
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.7151
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-dexuseu_fred-totalsa_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.