SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
+53%
of values
In sync
46%
of periods
History
182
weeks · through 2026-14
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~28% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
45.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+53%
Based on values
95% CI
+42% → +63%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
182 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
352
11,289
Normalized
352
11,289
Prepared
352
2,364
Aligned
182
182
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
28.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
182
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+53%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
182 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+53%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+53%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+36%
80 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
101 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,352
A: 170 / B: 2182
Series A
Potential GDP
GDPPOT
FRED · 352 raw → 352 prepared
Series B
USD/THB Exchange Rate
DEXTHUS
FRED · 11,289 raw → 2,364 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0007
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
21.3301
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-dexthus_fred-gdppot_5y