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Correlation
of values
-52%
In sync
of periods
51%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-05
11,271
These move in the same direction about 51% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~27% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
51.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-52%
Based on values
95% CI
-53% → -50%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
11,271 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
16,092
11,318
Normalized
16,092
11,318
Prepared
16,092
11,318
Aligned
11,271
11,271
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
26.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
11,271
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-52%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11,271 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-52%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-52%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4,868
A: 4821 / B: 47
Series A
1Y Treasury Yield
DGS1
FRED · 16,092 raw → 16,092 prepared
Series B
USD/THB Exchange Rate
DEXTHUS
FRED · 11,318 raw → 11,318 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
17
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.9048
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
35.4944
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-dexthus_fred-dgs1_daily_5y