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Correlation
of values
-19%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
5,867
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-19%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
5,867 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
5,881
10,430
Normalized
5,881
10,430
Prepared
5,881
10,430
Aligned
5,867
5,867
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
4%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
5,867
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-19%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
5,867 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-19%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-19%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4,577
A: 14 / B: 4563
Series A
5Y Breakeven Inflation
T5YIE
FRED · 5,881 raw → 5,881 prepared
Series B
USD/TWD Exchange Rate
DEXTAUS
FRED · 10,430 raw → 10,430 prepared
Sign agreement
99.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
98
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.5615
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
32.3001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dextaus_fred-t5yie_daily_5y