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Correlation
of values
-19%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
5,835
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-19%
Based on values
95% CI
-22% → -17%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
5,835 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
5,851
10,398
Normalized
5,851
10,398
Prepared
5,851
10,398
Aligned
5,835
5,835
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
3.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
5,835
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-19%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
5,835 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-19%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-19%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4,579
A: 16 / B: 4563
Series A
5Y Breakeven Inflation
T5YIE
FRED · 5,851 raw → 5,851 prepared
Series B
USD/TWD Exchange Rate
DEXTAUS
FRED · 10,398 raw → 10,398 prepared
Sign agreement
99.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
93
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.5665
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
32.3064
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dextaus_fred-t5yie_daily_5y