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Correlation
of values
+20%
In sync
of periods
53%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-35
2,235
These move in the same direction about 53% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+20%
Based on values
95% CI
+16% → +24%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
2,235 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
2,904
10,475
Normalized
2,904
10,475
Prepared
2,904
2,236
Aligned
2,235
2,235
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
2,235
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+20%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
2,235 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+20%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+20%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
670
A: 669 / B: 1
Series A
Chicago Financial Conditions
NFCI
FRED · 2,904 raw → 2,904 prepared
Series B
USD/TWD Exchange Rate
DEXTAUS
FRED · 10,475 raw → 2,236 prepared
Sign agreement
16.5%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
34
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.3249
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
31.4996
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-dextaus_fred-nfci_weekly_5y