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Correlation
of values
+37%
In sync
of periods
36%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
13
These move in the same direction about 36% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~14% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Existing Home Sales moves ~3 months before USD/TWD Exchange Rate
Watch Existing Home Sales for an early read on USD/TWD Exchange Rate.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
36%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+37%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
13
10,430
Normalized
13
10,430
Prepared
13
514
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
14%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -3 to 3 months.
Selected shift
+3 months
Correlation at this shift
+66%
+28% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/TWD Exchange Rate shifted 3 months earlier. Reads: "Does Existing Home Sales today line up with USD/TWD Exchange Rate 3 months from now?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+37%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+3 months
+66%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-40%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
501
A: 0 / B: 501
Series A
Existing Home Sales
EXHOSLUSM495S
FRED · 13 raw → 13 prepared
Series B
USD/TWD Exchange Rate
DEXTAUS
FRED · 10,430 raw → 514 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
14.7195
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dextaus_fred-exhoslusm495s_monthly_5y