SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
Overview
Relationship
These move together about 51% of the time
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Read
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
The saved window keeps correlation, overlap, alignment, and freshness anchored to the same computed record.
What to Watch
Decouples in drawdowns
Correlation weakens when both fall (+13%) vs when both rise (+40%) — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+76%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
5,820 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+76%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+76%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+76%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+75% → +77%
Likely range
R²
58.4%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
50.6%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
5,820
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
5,820 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
5,836
10,383
Normalized
5,836
10,383
Prepared
5,836
10,383
Aligned
5,820
5,820
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+40%
87 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+13%
94 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-35%
68 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4,579
A: 16 / B: 4563
Series A
DFII10
FRED · 5,836 raw → 5,836 prepared
Series B
DEXTAUS
FRED · 10,383 raw → 10,383 prepared
Sign agreement
83.6%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
157
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.2561
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
29.9551
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: fred-dextaus_fred-dfii10_5y