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Correlation
of values
-36%
In sync
of periods
52%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-04
6,680
These move in the same direction about 52% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~13% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
52%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-36%
Based on values
95% CI
-38% → -33%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
6,680 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
10,475
6,683
Normalized
10,475
6,683
Prepared
10,475
6,683
Aligned
6,680
6,680
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
13%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
6,680
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-36%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
6,680 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-36%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-36%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3,798
A: 3795 / B: 3
Series A
USD/TWD Exchange Rate
DEXTAUS
FRED · 10,475 raw → 10,475 prepared
Series B
USD/VES Exchange Rate
DEXVZUS
FRED · 6,683 raw → 6,683 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-101387.8445
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
3280548.3609
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-dextaus_fred-dexvzus_daily_5y