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Correlation
of values
-80%
In sync
of periods
49%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-35
1,874
These move in the same direction about 49% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount in the opposite direction (~64% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-80%
Based on values
95% CI
-82% → -78%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,874 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
1,875
13,957
Normalized
1,875
13,957
Prepared
1,875
2,903
Aligned
1,874
1,874
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
64%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
1,874
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-80%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,874 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-80%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-80%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,030
A: 1 / B: 1029
Series A
US Gas Price
GASREGW
FRED · 1,875 raw → 1,875 prepared
Series B
USD/CHF Exchange Rate
DEXSZUS
FRED · 13,957 raw → 2,903 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
15
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2117
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.6457
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-dexszus_fred-gasregw_weekly_5y