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Correlation
of values
-80%
In sync
of periods
49%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-27
1,866
These move in the same direction about 49% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount in the opposite direction (~64% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-80%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,866 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
1,867
13,917
Normalized
1,867
13,917
Prepared
1,867
2,895
Aligned
1,866
1,866
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
64%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
1,866
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-80%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,866 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-80%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-80%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,030
A: 1 / B: 1029
Series A
US Gas Price
GASREGW
FRED · 1,867 raw → 1,867 prepared
Series B
USD/CHF Exchange Rate
DEXSZUS
FRED · 13,917 raw → 2,895 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2118
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.6458
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexszus_fred-gasregw_weekly_5y