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Correlation
of values
+36%
In sync
of periods
49%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-24
10,074
These move in the same direction about 49% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~13% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+36%
Based on values
95% CI
+35% → +38%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
10,074 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
15,186
13,072
Normalized
15,186
13,072
Prepared
15,186
13,072
Aligned
10,074
10,074
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
13%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
10,074
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+36%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
10,074 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+36%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+36%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
8,110
A: 5112 / B: 2998
Series A
US Economic Policy Uncertainty
USEPUINDXD
FRED · 15,186 raw → 15,186 prepared
Series B
USD/LKR Exchange Rate
DEXSLUS
FRED · 13,072 raw → 13,072 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
2,106
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3252
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
82.8320
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexslus_fred-usepuindxd_daily_5y