Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of values
+86%
In sync
of periods
64%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
642
These move in the same direction about 64% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~74% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
64%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+86%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
642 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,050
13,057
Normalized
1,050
13,057
Prepared
1,050
643
Aligned
642
642
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
74%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
642
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+86%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
642 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+86%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+86%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-16%
19 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-24%
19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
409
A: 408 / B: 1
Series A
Nonfarm Payrolls
PAYEMS
FRED · 1,050 raw → 1,050 prepared
Series B
USD/LKR Exchange Rate
DEXSLUS
FRED · 13,057 raw → 643 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0030
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-271.6735
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexslus_fred-payems_monthly_5y