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Correlation
of values
+45%
In sync
of periods
56%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-35
2,383
These move in the same direction about 56% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~20% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
56%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+45%
Based on values
95% CI
+41% → +48%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
2,383 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
2,904
11,461
Normalized
2,904
11,461
Prepared
2,904
2,384
Aligned
2,383
2,383
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
20%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
2,383
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+45%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
2,383 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+45%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
522
A: 521 / B: 1
Series A
Chicago Financial Conditions
NFCI
FRED · 2,904 raw → 2,904 prepared
Series B
USD/SGD Exchange Rate
DEXSIUS
FRED · 11,461 raw → 2,384 prepared
Sign agreement
20.5%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
57
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1704
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.6439
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-dexsius_fred-nfci_weekly_5y