Correlation
-83%
of values
In sync
43%
of periods
History
182
weeks · through 2026-14
These move opposite each other about 43% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount in the opposite direction (~69% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Time Series
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
42.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-83%
Based on values
95% CI
-87% → -78%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
182 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
352
11,369
Normalized
352
11,369
Prepared
352
2,365
Aligned
182
182
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
69.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
182
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-83%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
182 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-83%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-83%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+5%
77 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+7%
104 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,353
A: 170 / B: 2183
Series A
Potential GDP
GDPPOT
FRED · 352 raw → 352 prepared
Series B
USD/SGD Exchange Rate
DEXSIUS
FRED · 11,369 raw → 2,365 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0001
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
2.3819
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-dexsius_fred-gdppot_5y