SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
+95%
of values
In sync
57%
of periods
History
186
weeks · through 2026-14
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~91% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+95%
Based on values
95% CI
+94% → +97%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
186 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
352
11,613
Normalized
352
11,613
Prepared
352
2,417
Aligned
186
186
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
91.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
186
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+95%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
186 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+95%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+95%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+30%
106 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-26%
79 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,397
A: 166 / B: 2231
Series A
Potential GDP
GDPPOT
FRED · 352 raw → 352 prepared
Series B
USD/ZAR Exchange Rate
DEXSFUS
FRED · 11,613 raw → 2,417 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0010
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-7.8977
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-dexsfus_fred-gdppot_5y