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Correlation
of values
+50%
In sync
of periods
62%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
11,330
These move in the same direction about 62% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~25% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
62%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+50%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
11,330 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
11,660
11,336
Normalized
11,660
11,336
Prepared
11,660
11,336
Aligned
11,330
11,330
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
25%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
11,330
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+50%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11,330 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+50%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+50%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
336
A: 330 / B: 6
Series A
USD/ZAR Exchange Rate
DEXSFUS
FRED · 11,660 raw → 11,660 prepared
Series B
USD/THB Exchange Rate
DEXTHUS
FRED · 11,336 raw → 11,336 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
58
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.5759
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
27.1254
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexsfus_fred-dexthus_daily_5y