SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+46%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-09
603
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~21% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
USD/SEK Exchange Rate moves ~12 weeks before Total Vehicle Sales
Watch USD/SEK Exchange Rate for an early read on Total Vehicle Sales.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+46%
Based on values
95% CI
+39% → +52%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
603 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
603
13,869
Normalized
603
13,869
Prepared
603
2,885
Aligned
603
603
Invalid removed
R²(i)
20.7%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
603
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
-12 weeks
Correlation at this shift
+53%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/SEK Exchange Rate shifted 12 weeks later. Reads: "Does Total Vehicle Sales today line up with USD/SEK Exchange Rate 12 weeks ago?"
591 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+46%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-12 weeks
+53%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-2%
74 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+8%
66 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-57%
109 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,282
A: 0 / B: 2282
Series A
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 603 raw → 603 prepared
Series B
USD/SEK Exchange Rate
DEXSDUS
FRED · 13,869 raw → 2,885 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
63
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3480
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
2.1478
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-dexsdus_fred-totalsa_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.