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Correlation
of values
-83%
In sync
of periods
29%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
13,916
These move in the same direction about 29% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount in the opposite direction (~69% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
29%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-83%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13,916 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
13,917
13,916
Normalized
13,917
13,916
Prepared
13,917
13,916
Aligned
13,916
13,916
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
69%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
13,916
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-83%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
13,916 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-83%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-83%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1
A: 1 / B: 0
Series A
GBP/USD Exchange Rate
DEXUSUK
FRED · 13,917 raw → 13,917 prepared
Series B
USD/SEK Exchange Rate
DEXSDUS
FRED · 13,916 raw → 13,916 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
87
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-4.5575
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
14.8205
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexsdus_fred-dexusuk_daily_5y