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Correlation
of values
-74%
In sync
of periods
35%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
13,900
These move in the same direction about 35% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount in the opposite direction (~55% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
35%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-74%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13,900 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
13,916
13,901
Normalized
13,916
13,901
Prepared
13,916
13,901
Aligned
13,900
13,900
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
55%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
13,900
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-74%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
13,900 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-74%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-74%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
17
A: 16 / B: 1
Series A
USD/SEK Exchange Rate
DEXSDUS
FRED · 13,916 raw → 13,916 prepared
Series B
NZD/USD Exchange Rate
DEXUSNZ
FRED · 13,901 raw → 13,901 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
89
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0898
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.3750
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexsdus_fred-dexusnz_daily_5y