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Correlation
of values
-29%
In sync
of periods
76%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
13,884
These move in the same direction about 76% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~9% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
75.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-29%
Based on values
95% CI
-31% → -28%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13,884 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
13,885
13,884
Normalized
13,885
13,884
Prepared
13,885
13,884
Aligned
13,884
13,884
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
8.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
13,884
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-29%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
13,884 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-29%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-29%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1
A: 1 / B: 0
Series A
USD/CHF Exchange Rate
DEXSZUS
FRED · 13,885 raw → 13,885 prepared
Series B
USD/NOK Exchange Rate
DEXNOUS
FRED · 13,884 raw → 13,884 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
99
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.5990
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
8.0287
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexnous_fred-dexszus_daily_5y