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Correlation
of values
+26%
In sync
of periods
49%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-11
6,687
These move in the same direction about 49% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+26%
Based on values
95% CI
+24% → +28%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
6,687 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
8,234
6,687
Normalized
8,234
6,687
Prepared
8,234
6,687
Aligned
6,687
6,687
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
7%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
6,687
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+26%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
6,687 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+26%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+26%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,547
A: 1547 / B: 0
Series A
USD/MXN Exchange Rate
DEXMXUS
FRED · 8,234 raw → 8,234 prepared
Series B
USD/VES Exchange Rate
DEXVZUS
FRED · 6,687 raw → 6,687 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
32194.8147
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-380128.4811
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-dexmxus_fred-dexvzus_daily_5y