Correlation
-65%
of values
In sync
51%
of periods
History
13,779
days · through 2026-04-24
These move opposite each other about 51% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~42% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-65%
Based on values
95% CI
-66% → -64%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13,779 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
16,067
13,848
Normalized
16,067
13,848
Prepared
16,067
13,848
Aligned
13,779
13,779
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
41.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
13,779
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-65%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
13,779 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-65%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-65%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-12%
68 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-2%
77 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-21%
104 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,357
A: 2288 / B: 69
Series A
1Y Treasury Yield
DGS1
FRED · 16,067 raw → 16,067 prepared
Series B
USD/MYR Exchange Rate
DEXMAUS
FRED · 13,848 raw → 13,848 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
61
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1338
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
3.8381
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-dexmaus_fred-dgs1_5y