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Correlation
of values
+31%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
304
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Job Openings moves ~18 months before USD/KRW Exchange Rate
Watch Job Openings for an early read on USD/KRW Exchange Rate.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+31%
Based on values
95% CI
+21% → +41%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
304 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
304
11,271
Normalized
304
11,271
Prepared
304
542
Aligned
304
304
Invalid removed
R²(i)
9.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
304
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+18 months
Correlation at this shift
+63%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/KRW Exchange Rate shifted 18 months earlier. Reads: "Does Job Openings today line up with USD/KRW Exchange Rate 18 months from now?"
286 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+31%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+18 months
+63%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-1%
46 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+17%
42 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-59%
108 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
238
A: 0 / B: 238
Series A
Job Openings
JTSJOL
FRED · 304 raw → 304 prepared
Series B
USD/KRW Exchange Rate
DEXKOUS
FRED · 11,271 raw → 542 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0176
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1069.9821
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexkous_fred-jtsjol_monthly_5y