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Correlation
of values
+40%
In sync
of periods
51%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-20
1,859
These move in the same direction about 51% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~16% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.8%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+40%
Based on values
95% CI
+36% → +44%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,859 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
1,860
11,271
Normalized
1,860
11,271
Prepared
1,860
2,353
Aligned
1,859
1,859
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
16.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,859
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+40%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,859 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+40%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+40%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
495
A: 1 / B: 494
Series A
US Gas Price
GASREGW
FRED · 1,860 raw → 1,860 prepared
Series B
USD/KRW Exchange Rate
DEXKOUS
FRED · 11,271 raw → 2,353 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
82.1574
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
914.6172
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexkous_fred-gasregw_weekly_5y