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Correlation
of values
+36%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
5,835
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~13% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+36%
Based on values
95% CI
+34% → +38%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
5,835 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
5,851
13,879
Normalized
5,851
13,879
Prepared
5,851
13,879
Aligned
5,835
5,835
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
12.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
5,835
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+36%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
5,835 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+36%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+36%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
8,060
A: 16 / B: 8044
Series A
5Y Breakeven Inflation
T5YIE
FRED · 5,851 raw → 5,851 prepared
Series B
USD/JPY Exchange Rate
DEXJPUS
FRED · 13,879 raw → 13,879 prepared
Sign agreement
99.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
64
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
12.3614
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
88.0753
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexjpus_fred-t5yie_daily_5y