Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of values
+59%
In sync
of periods
58%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-27
2,882
These move in the same direction about 58% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~35% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
58%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+59%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
2,882 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
2,884
13,911
Normalized
2,884
13,911
Prepared
2,884
2,894
Aligned
2,882
2,882
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
35%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
2,882
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+59%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
2,882 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+59%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+59%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
14
A: 2 / B: 12
Series A
30Y Mortgage Rate
MORTGAGE30US
FRED · 2,884 raw → 2,884 prepared
Series B
USD/JPY Exchange Rate
DEXJPUS
FRED · 13,911 raw → 2,894 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
16
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
12.6579
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
58.1849
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexjpus_fred-mortgage30us_weekly_5y