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Correlation
of values
+76%
In sync
of periods
35%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
1,232
These move in the same direction about 35% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~58% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
35%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+76%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,232 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,806
13,911
Normalized
1,806
13,911
Prepared
1,806
13,911
Aligned
1,232
1,232
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
58%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
1,232
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+76%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,232 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+76%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+76%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-21%
139 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
13,253
A: 574 / B: 12679
Series A
Interest on Reserve Balances
IORB
FRED · 1,806 raw → 1,806 prepared
Series B
USD/JPY Exchange Rate
DEXJPUS
FRED · 13,911 raw → 13,911 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
23
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
5.9461
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
120.1005
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexjpus_fred-iorb_daily_5y