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Correlation
of values
+48%
In sync
of periods
52%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
306
These move in the same direction about 52% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~23% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Job Openings moves ~7 months before USD/HKD Exchange Rate
Watch Job Openings for an early read on USD/HKD Exchange Rate.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
52%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+48%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
306 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
306
11,417
Normalized
306
11,417
Prepared
306
547
Aligned
306
306
Invalid removed
23%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
306
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+7 months
Correlation at this shift
+55%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/HKD Exchange Rate shifted 7 months earlier. Reads: "Does Job Openings today line up with USD/HKD Exchange Rate 7 months from now?"
299 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+48%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+7 months
+55%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0%
60 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+5%
47 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-54%
89 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
241
A: 0 / B: 241
Series A
Job Openings
JTSJOL
FRED · 306 raw → 306 prepared
Series B
USD/HKD Exchange Rate
DEXHKUS
FRED · 11,417 raw → 547 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
7.7518
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexhkus_fred-jtsjol_monthly_5y