Correlation
of values
-54%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
daysdays · through 2026-04-24
11,370
These move opposite each other about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~29% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
55.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-54%
Based on values
95% CI
-55% → -52%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
11,370 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
13,864
11,370
Normalized
13,864
11,370
Prepared
13,864
11,370
Aligned
11,370
11,370
Invalid removed
R²(i)
28.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
11,370
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-54%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11,370 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-54%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-54%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+40%
78 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+65%
69 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-28%
102 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,494
A: 2494 / B: 0
Series A
USD/JPY Exchange Rate
DEXJPUS
FRED · 13,864 raw → 13,864 prepared
Series B
USD/HKD Exchange Rate
DEXHKUS
FRED · 11,370 raw → 11,370 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
40
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0054
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
8.3851
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: fred-dexhkus_fred-dexjpus_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.