SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
+34%
of values
In sync
50%
of periods
History
663
months · through 2026-03
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~11% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
USD/DKK Exchange Rate moves ~18 months before Building Permits
Watch USD/DKK Exchange Rate for an early read on Building Permits.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+34%
Based on values
95% CI
+27% → +40%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
663 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
795
13,869
Normalized
795
13,869
Prepared
795
664
Aligned
663
663
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
11.3%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
663
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-18 months
Correlation at this shift
+49%
+16% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/DKK Exchange Rate shifted 18 months later. Reads: "Does Building Permits today line up with USD/DKK Exchange Rate 18 months ago?"
645 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+34%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-18 months
+49%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-14%
67 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+14%
58 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-62%
124 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
133
A: 132 / B: 1
Series A
Building Permits
PERMIT
FRED · 795 raw → 795 prepared
Series B
USD/DKK Exchange Rate
DEXDNUS
FRED · 13,869 raw → 664 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
43
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0010
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
5.2221
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-dexdnus_fred-permit_5y