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Correlation
of values
+44%
In sync
of periods
56%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-30
2,886
These move in the same direction about 56% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~19% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
56%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+44%
Based on values
95% CI
+41% → +47%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
2,886 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
2,888
13,931
Normalized
2,888
13,931
Prepared
2,888
2,898
Aligned
2,886
2,886
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
19%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
2,886
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+44%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
2,886 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+44%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+44%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
14
A: 2 / B: 12
Series A
30Y Mortgage Rate
MORTGAGE30US
FRED · 2,888 raw → 2,888 prepared
Series B
USD/DKK Exchange Rate
DEXDNUS
FRED · 13,931 raw → 2,898 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
14
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1614
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
5.3811
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dexdnus_fred-mortgage30us_weekly_5y