Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of values
-64%
In sync
of periods
51%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-04
11,348
These move in the same direction about 51% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount in the opposite direction (~41% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
51%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-64%
Based on values
95% CI
-65% → -63%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
11,348 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
12,563
11,402
Normalized
12,563
11,402
Prepared
12,563
11,402
Aligned
11,348
11,348
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
41%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
11,348
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-64%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11,348 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-64%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-64%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,269
A: 1215 / B: 54
Series A
2Y Treasury Yield
DGS2
FRED · 12,563 raw → 12,563 prepared
Series B
USD/CNY Exchange Rate
DEXCHUS
FRED · 11,402 raw → 11,402 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
35
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.3560
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
7.9240
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-dexchus_fred-dgs2_daily_5y