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Correlation
of values
+46%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
11,314
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~21% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
56.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+46%
Based on values
95% CI
+44% → +47%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
11,314 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
11,325
11,628
Normalized
11,325
11,628
Prepared
11,325
11,628
Aligned
11,314
11,314
Invalid removed
R²(i)
21.0%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
11,314
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+46%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11,314 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+46%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+46%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-1%
67 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+30%
70 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-16%
112 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
325
A: 11 / B: 314
Series A
USD/CNY Exchange Rate
DEXCHUS
FRED · 11,325 raw → 11,325 prepared
Series B
USD/ZAR Exchange Rate
DEXSFUS
FRED · 11,628 raw → 11,628 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
27
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.2209
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0980
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexchus_fred-dexsfus_daily_5y