SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+43%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-09
603
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~18% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
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Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+43%
Based on values
95% CI
+36% → +49%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
603 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
603
13,876
Normalized
603
13,876
Prepared
603
2,886
Aligned
603
603
Invalid removed
R²(i)
18.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
603
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+43%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
603 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+43%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+43%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-2%
60 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-1%
47 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-53%
142 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,283
A: 0 / B: 2283
Series A
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 603 raw → 603 prepared
Series B
USD/CAD Exchange Rate
DEXCAUS
FRED · 13,876 raw → 2,886 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
73
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0288
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.8206
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-dexcaus_fred-totalsa_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.