Correlation
of values
-66%
In sync
of periods
43%
History
daysdays · through 2026-04-24
7,850
These move opposite each other about 43% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount in the opposite direction (~44% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
43.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-66%
Based on values
95% CI
-68% → -65%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
7,850 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
13,870
7,853
Normalized
13,870
7,853
Prepared
13,870
7,853
Aligned
7,850
7,850
Invalid removed
R²(i)
44.0%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
7,850
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-66%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
7,850 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-66%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-66%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-26%
72 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-12%
59 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
118 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
6,023
A: 6020 / B: 3
Series A
GBP/USD Exchange Rate
DEXUSUK
FRED · 13,870 raw → 13,870 prepared
Series B
USD/BRL Exchange Rate
DEXBZUS
FRED · 7,853 raw → 7,853 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
25
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-4.5795
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
9.8978
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: fred-dexbzus_fred-dexusuk_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.