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Correlation
of values
+55%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-01
10,128
These move in the same direction about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~30% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
55%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+55%
Based on values
95% CI
+54% → +57%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
10,128 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
13,955
10,236
Normalized
13,955
10,236
Prepared
13,955
10,236
Aligned
10,128
10,128
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
30%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
10,128
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+55%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
10,128 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+55%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+55%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3,935
A: 3827 / B: 108
Series A
AUD/USD Exchange Rate
DEXUSAL
FRED · 13,955 raw → 13,955 prepared
Series B
WTI Crude Oil
DCOILWTICO
FRED · 10,236 raw → 10,236 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
81
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
139.8460
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-55.7472
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dcoilwtico_fred-dexusal_daily_5y