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Correlation
of values
-34%
In sync
of periods
48%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
6,606
These move in the same direction about 48% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~11% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
48%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-34%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
6,606 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
10,161
6,638
Normalized
10,161
6,638
Prepared
10,161
6,638
Aligned
6,606
6,606
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
11%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
6,606
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-34%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
6,606 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-34%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-34%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-38%
5 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3,587
A: 3555 / B: 32
Series A
Baa Corporate Bond Yield
DBAA
FRED · 10,161 raw → 10,161 prepared
Series B
USD/VES Exchange Rate
DEXVZUS
FRED · 6,638 raw → 6,638 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-128683.8508
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
840926.8652
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dbaa_fred-dexvzus_daily_5y