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Correlation
of values
+79%
In sync
of periods
54%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-01
10,073
These move in the same direction about 54% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~63% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
54.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+79%
Based on values
95% CI
+79% → +80%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
10,073 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
10,124
13,875
Normalized
10,124
13,875
Prepared
10,124
13,875
Aligned
10,073
10,073
Invalid removed
R²(i)
63.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
10,073
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+79%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
10,073 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+79%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+79%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-10%
79 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+21%
91 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
79 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3,853
A: 51 / B: 3802
Series A
Baa Corporate Bond Yield
DBAA
FRED · 10,124 raw → 10,124 prepared
Series B
USD/CHF Exchange Rate
DEXSZUS
FRED · 13,875 raw → 13,875 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1090
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.4589
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-dbaa_fred-dexszus_daily_5y