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Chevron Corporation (CVX) vs 5Y Breakeven Inflation
Correlation
of % moves
+37%
In sync
of periods
63%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-07
1,243
These move in the same direction about 63% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~14% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
63%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+37%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,243 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
5,881
Normalized
1,254
5,881
Prepared
1,254
5,881
Aligned
1,243
1,243
Invalid removed
14%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
1,242
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+37%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,242 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+37%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+37%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+9%
44 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+33%
54 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-58%
44 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4,649
A: 11 / B: 4638
Series A
Chevron Corporation (CVX)
CVX
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
5Y Breakeven Inflation
T5YIE
FRED · 5,881 raw → 5,881 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
71
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3856
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0002
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-t5yie_stock-cvx_daily_5y