SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+49%
In sync
of periods
53%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-09
279
These move in the same direction about 53% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~24% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+49%
Based on values
95% CI
+40% → +58%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
279 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
5,837
879
Normalized
5,837
879
Prepared
1,218
879
Aligned
279
279
Invalid removed
R²(i)
24.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
279
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+49%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
279 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+49%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+49%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+5%
59 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+16%
69 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-59%
121 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,539
A: 939 / B: 600
Series A
5Y Breakeven Inflation
T5YIE
FRED · 5,837 raw → 1,218 prepared
Series B
CPI: Used Cars & Trucks
CUSR0000SETA02
FRED · 879 raw → 879 prepared
Sign agreement
98.9%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
19.0796
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
114.6335
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-cusr0000seta02_fred-t5yie_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.