SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
-84%
In sync
of periods
48%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
663
These move opposite each other about 48% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount in the opposite direction (~70% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
48.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-84%
Based on values
95% CI
-86% → -81%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
663 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
879
13,864
Normalized
879
13,864
Prepared
879
664
Aligned
663
663
Invalid removed
R²(i)
70.0%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
663
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-84%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
663 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-84%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-84%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0%
71 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-4%
51 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-42%
127 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
217
A: 216 / B: 1
Series A
CPI: Used Cars & Trucks
CUSR0000SETA02
FRED · 879 raw → 879 prepared
Series B
USD/JPY Exchange Rate
DEXJPUS
FRED · 13,864 raw → 664 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.3423
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
322.0999
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-cusr0000seta02_fred-dexjpus_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.