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Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) vs Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate
Correlation
of % moves
+66%
In sync
of periods
64%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
12
These move in the same direction about 64% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~44% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
63.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+66%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+10% → +90%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
12 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
256
965
Normalized
256
965
Prepared
13
965
Aligned
12
12
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
43.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
12
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -1 to 1 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+66%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+66%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+66%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
954
A: 1 / B: 953
Series A
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)
CRCL
Stock · 256 raw → 13 prepared
Series B
Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate
WTISPLC
FRED · 965 raw → 965 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2709
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0454
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 5 days ago · ID: fred-wtisplc_stock-crcl_monthly_5y