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Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) vs U-6 Unemployment Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+25%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
12
These move in the same direction about 67% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~6% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
67%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+25%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
12 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
274
389
Normalized
274
389
Prepared
14
389
Aligned
12
12
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
6%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
10
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: 0 to 0 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+25%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+25%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+25%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
379
A: 2 / B: 377
Series A
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)
CRCL
Stock · 274 raw → 14 prepared
Series B
U-6 Unemployment Rate
U6RATE
FRED · 389 raw → 389 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0232
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0038
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-u6rate_stock-crcl_monthly_5y