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Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) vs USD/INR Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+18%
In sync
of periods
52%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
236
These move in the same direction about 52% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~3% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
52.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+18%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+6% → +30%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
236 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
243
13,377
Normalized
243
13,377
Prepared
243
13,377
Aligned
236
236
Invalid removed
R²(i)
3.4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
236
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+18%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
235 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+18%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+18%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+14%
67 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+15%
50 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-43%
118 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
13,148
A: 7 / B: 13141
Series A
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)
CRCL
Stock · 243 raw → 243 prepared
Series B
USD/INR Exchange Rate
DEXINUS
FRED · 13,377 raw → 13,377 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
16
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0080
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0005
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexinus_stock-crcl_daily_5y