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Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
+36%
In sync
of periods
58%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
13
These move in the same direction about 58% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~13% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
58%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+36%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-27% → +77%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
315
474
Normalized
315
474
Prepared
16
474
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
13%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
12
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+36%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+36%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+36%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+20%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-71%
5 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
464
A: 3 / B: 461
Series A
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)
CRCL
Stock · 315 raw → 16 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 474 raw → 474 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0057
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0016
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-crcl_monthly_5y