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Correlation
of % moves
+50%
In sync
of periods
66%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-04
615
These move in the same direction about 66% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~25% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+50%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+43% → +55%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
615 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
615
1,253
Normalized
615
1,253
Prepared
615
1,253
Aligned
615
615
Invalid removed
R²(i)
25%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
614
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+50%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
614 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+50%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+50%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+30%
97 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+62%
86 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-57%
65 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
638
A: 0 / B: 638
Series A
Corpay, Inc. (CPAY)
CPAY
Stock · 615 raw → 615 prepared
Series B
XLY
Stock · 1,253 raw → 1,253 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
42
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3116
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0002
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: stock-cpay_stock-xly_daily_5y