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Cencora, Inc. (COR) vs Real Personal Consumption
Correlation
of % moves
-23%
In sync
of periods
59%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
39
These move in the same direction about 59% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~5% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Real Personal Consumption moves ~11 months before COR
Watch Real Personal Consumption for an early read on COR.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-23%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-52% → +10%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
39 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
834
231
Normalized
834
231
Prepared
41
231
Aligned
39
39
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
5.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
39
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-11 months
Correlation at this shift
+59%
+36% stronger than no-shift baseline
Real Personal Consumption shifted 11 months later. Reads: "Does Cencora, Inc. (COR) today line up with Real Personal Consumption 11 months ago?"
20 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-23%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-11 months
+59%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-14%
22 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-73%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
194
A: 2 / B: 192
Series A
Cencora, Inc. (COR)
COR
Stock · 834 raw → 41 prepared
Series B
Real Personal Consumption
PCEC96
FRED · 231 raw → 231 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0144
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0025
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-pcec96_stock-cor_monthly_5y