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Centene Corporation (CNC) vs Total Vehicle Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-21%
In sync
of periods
48%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
59
These move in the same direction about 48% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Total Vehicle Sales moves ~4 months before CNC
Watch Total Vehicle Sales for an early read on CNC.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
48.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-21%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-44% → +6%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
59 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,253
603
Normalized
1,253
603
Prepared
61
603
Aligned
59
59
Invalid removed
R²(i)
4.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
59
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-4 months
Correlation at this shift
-30%
+9% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Vehicle Sales shifted 4 months later. Reads: "Does Centene Corporation (CNC) today line up with Total Vehicle Sales 4 months ago?"
54 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-21%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-4 months
-30%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-44%
16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-20%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-60%
30 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
546
A: 2 / B: 544
Series A
Centene Corporation (CNC)
CNC
Stock · 1,253 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 603 raw → 603 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1019
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0020
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-totalsa_stock-cnc_monthly_5y